Happiness Before and After an Election : An Analysis Based on a Daily Survey Around Japan's 2009 Election

Material type: 文書・図像類

Author: Kimball, Milesほか

Publisher: The Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University

Publication date: 2015-01

Material Format: Paper

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Note (General)：: This paper investigates whether the Japanese voters became happy and/or unhappy due to the results of the General Election in 2009. We conducted a dai...

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Paper

Material Type: 文書・図像類
Title: Happiness Before and After an Election : An Analysis Based on a Daily Survey Around Japan's 2009 Election
Author/Editor: Kimball, Miles
Morimoto, Shoko
Kinari, Yusuke
Ohtake, Fumio
Tsutsui, Yoshiro
Author Heading: Kimball, Miles
Morimoto, Shoko
Kinari, Yusuke
https://nrid.nii.ac.jp/nrid/1000010509855
Ohtake, Fumio
https://nrid.nii.ac.jp/nrid/1000050176913
Tsutsui, Yoshiro
https://nrid.nii.ac.jp/nrid/1000050163845
Publication, Distribution, etc.: The Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University
Publication Date: 2015-01
Publication Date (W3CDTF): 2015-01
Periodical title: Institute of Social and Economic Research Discussion Papers
No. or year of volume/issue: 924
Volume: 924
Pages: 1-34
Text Language Code: eng
Subject Heading: happiness
election
expectation
survey
Japan
Target Audience: 一般
Note (General): This paper investigates whether the Japanese voters became happy and/or unhappy due to the results of the General Election in 2009. We conducted a daily web survey for seven days before and after the election, obtaining1068 responses. Estimating a fixed effects model, we found that supporters of the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ), the winner, became significantly happier, and supporters of the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan (LDP) and New Komeito, the losers, became significantly unhappier on the day following the election. However, happiness returned to the previous level in one or two days, implying people adapted to the news very quickly. Dividing those who support the policies of DPJ into two groups, those who expect material benefits from the victory of DPJ and those who do not, we demonstrated that the reason why the supporters of the winner (DPJ) felt happy was not because they obtained material benefits from the change of government. We also found that the happiness level of those whose expectation of the election results were realized did not change, while that of those whose expectation differed from the reality changed substantially. In a word, only unexpected results matter.
References (URI): URI
http://www.iser.osaka-u.ac.jp/library/dp/2015/DP0924.pdf
Data Provider (Database): 国立情報学研究所 : 学術機関リポジトリデータベース（IRDB）（機関リポジトリ）
https://irdb.nii.ac.jp
Original Data Provider (Database): 大阪大学 : 大阪大学学術情報庫　桜華