一般注記type:text
The problem of evaluating the goodness of the predictive distributions of Bayesian models is investigated. A predictive marginal likelihood is proposed as an estimator of the posterior mean of the expected likelihood of the predictive distribution. Under the model misspecification situation, the proposed criterion is developed by correcting the asymptotic bias of the posterior mean of the likelihood as an estimate of its expected likelihood. The use of the resampling approach in model evaluation is also discussed.
連携機関・データベース国立情報学研究所 : 学術機関リポジトリデータベース(IRDB)(機関リポジトリ)