需要予測における季節変動の統計的考察

Material type: 文書・図像類

Author: 橋本, 郁郎

Publisher: 愛知工業大学

Publication date: 1988-03-31

Material Format: Digital

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Note (General)：: A demand forecast plays a very important role in modern management. The time series data analysis is one of the techniques used in demand forecasting....

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Material Type: 文書・図像類
Title: 需要予測における季節変動の統計的考察
Author/Editor: 橋本, 郁郎
Author Heading: 橋本, 郁郎
Publication, Distribution, etc.: 愛知工業大学
Publication Date: 1988-03-31
Publication Date (W3CDTF): 1988-03-31
Alternative Title: ジュヨウヨソクニオケルキセツヘンドウノトウケイテキコウサツ
Statistical Considerations of Seasonal Movement in Demand Forecast
Periodical title: 愛知工業大学研究報告. B, 専門関係論文集 = Bulletin of Aichi Institute of Technology. Part B
No. or year of volume/issue: 23
Volume: 23
Pages: 149-156
ISSN (Periodical Title): ISSN : 0387-0812
Text Language Code: jpn
Target Audience: 一般
Note (General): A demand forecast plays a very important role in modern management. The time series data analysis is one of the techniques used in demand forecasting. This analytical method consists of trend in movement, cyclical movement, seasonal movement and irregular component of demand. There have been several analytical methods available to deal with seasonal movement. The present study discusses statistical considerations on a seasonal distinction average method, link relatives method, moving average ratio method and sequential forecast method. The amounts sold by the department stores were used to show numerical examples. As the results of caliculations, obtained probabilities for the forecast error, observing the ±5% level of forecasting accuracy, are 0.606,0.648,0.653 and 0.627 respectively.
identifier:http://repository.aitech.ac.jp/dspace/handle/11133/770
Format (IMT): application/pdf
Source: http://repository.aitech.ac.jp/dspace/bitstream/11133/770/1/%e7%b4%80%e8%a6%8123%e5%8f%b7B%28P149-156%29.pdf
http://repository.aitech.ac.jp/dspace/bitstream/11133/770/1/%e7%b4%80%e8%a6%8123%e5%8f%b7B%28P149-156%29.pdf
Access Restrictions: 限定公開
Data Provider (Database): 国立情報学研究所 : 学術機関リポジトリデータベース（IRDB）（機関リポジトリ）
https://irdb.nii.ac.jp
Original Data Provider (Database): 愛知工業大学 : 愛知工業大学学術情報リポジトリ