需要予測における季節変動の統計的考察(第2報)

Material type: 文書・図像類

Author: 橋本, 郁郎

Publisher: 愛知工業大学

Publication date: 1989-03-31

Material Format: Digital

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Note (General)：: The time series data analysis is one of the techniques used for demand forecasting. This analytical method consists of four types of movements such as...

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Material Type: 文書・図像類
Title: 需要予測における季節変動の統計的考察(第2報)
Author/Editor: 橋本, 郁郎
Author Heading: 橋本, 郁郎
Publication, Distribution, etc.: 愛知工業大学
Publication Date: 1989-03-31
Publication Date (W3CDTF): 1989-03-31
Alternative Title: ジュヨウヨソクニオケルキセツヘンドウノトウケイテキコウサツダイ2ホウ
Statistical Considerations of Seasonal Movement in Demand Forecast (the 2nd Report)
Periodical title: 愛知工業大学研究報告. B, 専門関係論文集 = Bulletin of Aichi Institute of Technology. Part B
No. or year of volume/issue: 24
Volume: 24
Pages: 87-95
ISSN (Periodical Title): ISSN : 0387-0812
Text Language Code: jpn
Target Audience: 一般
Note (General): The time series data analysis is one of the techniques used for demand forecasting. This analytical method consists of four types of movements such as trend movement, cyclical movement, seasonal movement and irregular component of demand. There have been several analytical methods available for dealing with seasonal movement. The previous report discussed the statisitical considerations on the seasonal distinction average method, link relatives method, moving average ratio method and sequential forecast method. The present study analyzes seasonal movement in a dummy valiable method and compares statistical considerations on the results of the previous report with those of the present study. The amount sold by the department stores were used to show numerical examples. As the results of caliculations, the probabilities for the forecast error at the levels of the ±5%, ±10% and ±15% forecasting accuracy are 0.65,0.91 and 0.98,respectively. The probabilities for the forecast error are the same or larger, compared with those of the previous report.
identifier:http://repository.aitech.ac.jp/dspace/handle/11133/812
Format (IMT): application/pdf
Source: http://repository.aitech.ac.jp/dspace/bitstream/11133/812/1/%e7%b4%80%e8%a6%8124%e5%8f%b7B%28P87-95%29.pdf
http://repository.aitech.ac.jp/dspace/bitstream/11133/812/1/%e7%b4%80%e8%a6%8124%e5%8f%b7B%28P87-95%29.pdf
Access Restrictions: 限定公開
Data Provider (Database): 国立情報学研究所 : 学術機関リポジトリデータベース（IRDB）（機関リポジトリ）
https://irdb.nii.ac.jp
Original Data Provider (Database): 愛知工業大学 : 愛知工業大学学術情報リポジトリ