中国の食料安全保障と気候変動に関するJIRCASとの共同研究

Material type: 図書

Author: 陳, 永福ほか

Publisher: 国際農林水産業研究センター

Publication date: 2019-03-25

Material Format: Digital

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Note (General)：: Research on China’s food outlook and the impacts of climate change on China’s agriculture was carried out by collaboration between China Agricultural ...

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Material Type: 図書
Title: 中国の食料安全保障と気候変動に関するJIRCASとの共同研究
Author/Editor: 陳, 永福
韓, 昕儒
銭, 小平
Author Heading: 陳, 永福
韓, 昕儒
銭, 小平
Publication, Distribution, etc.: 国際農林水産業研究センター
Publication Date: 2019-03-25
Publication Date (W3CDTF): 2019-03-25
Periodical title: 国際農業研究情報 : JIRCAS-CAAS農業科学技術研究協力の歩み : 36周年記念シンポジウムプロシーディングス
No. or year of volume/issue: 87
Volume: 87
Pages: 103-108
ISSN (Periodical Title): PISSN : 1341-710X
Text Language Code: jpn
Area Coverage: China
中国
Target Audience: 一般
Date/Time and Place of an Event: JIRCAS-CAAS農業科学技術研究協力20周年記念シンポジウム
Note (General): Research on China’s food outlook and the impacts of climate change on China’s agriculture was carried out by collaboration between China Agricultural University and JIRCAS over the past 20 years. On one side, the simulated results of China’s food balance projected to 2030 show that China’s net grain import will reach 128 million tons, and net oilseeds import, and net livestock and aquatic products will reach 84.24 million tons and 8.93 million tons, respectively. It is important to reshape China’s food security strategy for policy makers. On the other side, the climate change impacts on maize yields are quantified using statistical models with panel data from 3731 farmers' observations across nine sample villages in Hebei Province of China. The impacts of climate change and the simulated impacts on maize yields based on scenarios of Representative Concentration Pathways 2.6, 4.5, 6.0, and 8.5 from the global climate models of Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate version 5 (MIROC5) and Meteorological Research Institute Coupled General Circulation Model version 3 (MRICGCM3) were then calculated, analyzed, and explained. Based on scenarios in the 2050s, the biggest loss for maize yields per hectare for the full sample accounts for about one-tenth of the mean maize yield from 2004 to 2010, and all of the villages are impacted. Hence, it is important to help farmers adopt an adaptation strategy to tackle the risk of loss for maize yields from climate change.
DOI: 10.34556/0002000343
Format (IMT): application/pdf
Source: jircas_working_report87-_103-108 （fulltext）
https://jircas.repo.nii.ac.jp/record/2000343/files/jircas_working_report87-_103-108.pdf
Access Restrictions: インターネット公開
Periodical Title: DOI
https://doi.org/10.34556/0002000325
Periodical Title (DOI): 10.34556/0002000325
Has Version: DOI
https://doi.org/10.34556/0002000360
Has Version (DOI): 10.34556/0002000360
Data Provider (Database): 国立情報学研究所 : 学術機関リポジトリデータベース（IRDB）（機関リポジトリ）
https://irdb.nii.ac.jp
Original Data Provider (Database): 国際農林水産業研究センター : 国際農研機関リポジトリ