Impact of the Lewis Turning Point on the Industrialization and the Capital Accumulation in Thailand 1960-2015 : A Counterfactual Analysis of Corporate Income Tax

Persistent ID (NDL): info:ndljp/pid/11766082

Material type: 博士論文

Author: BOWONTHUMRONGCHAI, Thongchart

Publisher: 埼玉大学大学院人文社会科学研究科

Publication date: 2020

Material Format: Digital

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Name of awarding university/degree: 埼玉大学,博士(経済学)

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Note (General)：: type:textThailand should take action on the reform so that Thailand will be more competitive in the next century since the recent Thai economic growth...

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Material Type: 博士論文
Title: Impact of the Lewis Turning Point on the Industrialization and the Capital Accumulation in Thailand 1960-2015 : A Counterfactual Analysis of Corporate Income Tax
Author/Editor: BOWONTHUMRONGCHAI, Thongchart
Author Heading: BOWONTHUMRONGCHAI, Thongchart
Publication, Distribution, etc.: 埼玉大学大学院人文社会科学研究科
Publication Date: 2020
Publication Date (W3CDTF): 2020
Periodical title: 博士論文（埼玉大学大学院人文社会科学研究科（博士後期課程））
Degree grantor/type: 埼玉大学
Date Granted: 2020-09-23
Date Granted (W3CDTF): 2020-09-23
Dissertation Number: 甲第26号
Degree Type: 博士(経済学)
Conferring No. (Dissertation): 甲第26号
Text Language Code: eng
Target Audience: 一般
Note (General): type:text
Thailand should take action on the reform so that Thailand will be more competitive in the next century since the recent Thai economic growth was far from very impressive, according to the previous Asian financial crisis. This dissertation applied the "Lewis-Ranis-Fei theory" and a shred of empirical evidence to investigate the impact of Lewis turning point to industrialization and the capital accumulation of Thailand. The study found that since Thailand had passed the turning point around 2000, Thailand's industrialization has been going in a slower pace because of insufficiency in cheap labor. The decrease in profit share leads to lower savings and underinvestment. Consequently, country growth is hardly seen, and reform is urgently needed. Here, we study the impact of the corporate income tax reform, one of the policies that can boost investment, by using the counterfactual analysis to see the impact on the level of investment and on Thailand’s economy after the tax reform is undertaken as soon as possible when the economy passed the turning point. We simulate two choices of the corporate income tax reform, revenue-neutral, and expenditure cut scenarios. The result from the general equilibrium model shows that the reform tax in both scenarios has a positive benefit to the long-term investment and to Thailand’s economy. If both scenarios are compared, the expenditure cut seems difficult at a glance, but we can benefit from the better result in the long run. Thus, Thailand should reform the tax in order to be more economically competitive in the near future.
CHAPTER 1 Introduction 11.1 Significance of Study 11.2 Research objectives 31.3 Scope of the study 31.4 Chapter’s composition 3 CHAPTER 2 Economic development and the Lewis turning point in Thailand 1960-20152.1 Overview of Economic Development of Thailand 1960-2015 42.2 Internal migration in Thailand 112.2.1 Stylize facts 112.2.2 Lewis-Ranis-Fei theory of migration 172.2.3 Harris-Todaro theory of migration 212.3 Lewisian Turning point in Thailand 272.3.1 Hypothesis: the existence of the Lewis turning point 272.3.2 empirical Lewis turning point in Thailand 30 CHAPTER 3 Implication of the turning point and the path of Industrialization3.1 Implication of the turning point and the path of Industrialization 363.2 Inada Model : The Mechanism of Economic Development 383.3 Debate on Capital accumulation process 523.4 Counterfactual Analysis 53 CHAPTER 4 The Corporate Income Tax Policy : The counterfactual analysis 544.1 Structure of the Corporate Income Tax in Thailand 544.2 Methodology 604.2.1 Theoretical model 604.2.2 Empirical model: A Computable General Equilibrium Model 654.2.3 Data and Parameter calibration 684.2.4 Hypothesis: A Counterfactual of a corporate tax policy 744.3 Empirical Result 74CHAPTER 5 Conclusions and Policy Recommendation 815.1 Conclusion remarks 815.2 Policy implications 845.3 Further study 84Reference 85Appendix A Computation Note on Effective Tax Rate of Corporate Income Tax 88
主指導教員 : 長島正冶
DOI: 10.24561/00019345
https://doi.org/10.24561/00019345
Persistent ID (NDL): info:ndljp/pid/11766082
https://dl.ndl.go.jp/pid/11766082
Collection: 障害者向け資料
Collection (Materials For Handicapped People:1): テキストデータ
Collection (particular): 国立国会図書館デジタルコレクション > デジタル化資料 > 博士論文
https://dl.ndl.go.jp/collections/A00014
Acquisition Basis: 博士論文（自動収集）
Date Accepted (W3CDTF): 2021-10-05T14:27:03+09:00
Date Created (W3CDTF): 2021-09-06
Format (IMT): application/pdf
Access Restrictions: 国立国会図書館内限定公開
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Availability of remote photoduplication service: 可
Periodical Title (URI): https://doi.org/10.24561/00019345
http://id.nii.ac.jp/1586/00019345/
Data Provider (Database): 国立国会図書館 : 国立国会図書館デジタルコレクション
https://dl.ndl.go.jp