Probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment based on the Gutenberg-Richter law in eastern Shikoku, Nankai subduction zone, Japan
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DOI[10.1186/s40623-022-01715-1]to the data of the same series
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- Material Type
- 記事
- Author/Editor
- Toshitaka BabaMasato KamiyaNaoki Tanaka
- Publication, Distribution, etc.
- Publication Date
- 2022-10-22
- Publication Date (W3CDTF)
- 2022-10-22
- Periodical title
- EPS : Earth, Planets and Space
- No. or year of volume/issue
- 74(156)
- Volume
- 74(156)
- ISSN (Periodical Title)
- 1880-5981
- ISSN-L (Periodical Title)
- 1343-8832
- Text Language Code
- eng
- DOI
- 10.1186/s40623-022-01715-1
- Persistent ID (NDL)
- info:ndljp/pid/12685443
- Collection
- Collection (Materials For Handicapped People:1)
- Collection (particular)
- 国立国会図書館デジタルコレクション > 電子書籍・電子雑誌 > その他
- Acquisition Basis
- オンライン資料収集制度
- Date Accepted (W3CDTF)
- 2023-03-07T16:17:02+09:00
- Date Captured (W3CDTF)
- 2023-03-07
- Format (IMT)
- application/pdf
- Access Restrictions
- 国立国会図書館内限定公開
- Service for the Digitized Contents Transmission Service
- 図書館・個人送信対象外
- Availability of remote photoduplication service
- 可
- Periodical Title (URI)
- Periodical Title (Persistent ID (NDL))
- info:ndljp/pid/12287068
- Data Provider (Database)
- 国立国会図書館 : 国立国会図書館デジタルコレクション
- Summary, etc.
- Earthquake and tsunami predictions comprise huge uncertainties, thus necessitating probabilistic assessments for the design of defense facilities and urban planning. In recent years, computer development has advanced probabilistic tsunami hazard assessments (PTHAs), where hazard curves show the exceedance probability of the maximum tsunami height. However, owing to the lack of historical and geological tsunami records, this method is generally insufficient for validating the estimated hazard curves. The eastern coast of Shikoku in the Nankai subduction zone, Japan, is suitable for validation because tsunami records from historical Nankai Trough earthquakes are available. This study evaluated PTHAs by comparing the tsunami hazard curves and exceedance frequencies of historical Nankai Trough tsunamis. We considered 3480 earthquake scenarios representing the rupture patterns of past Nankai earthquakes and calculated all tsunamis. The probability of earthquake occurrence was based on the Gutenberg–Richter law. We considered uncertainty in tsunami calculations with astronomical tide variations. The estimated tsunami hazard curves are consistent with the exceedance frequencies obtained from historical tsunamis. In addition, sensitivity tests indicate the significance of the earthquake slip heterogeneity and tsunami defense facilities in PTHAs. We also extended the PTHAs to tsunami inundation maps in high resolution and proposed an effective new method for reducing the tsunami computation load.
- DOI
- 10.1186/s40623-022-01715-1
- Access Restrictions
- インターネット公開
- Rights (production)
- This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
- Related Material (URI)
- Is Referenced By
- 高性能・多機能津波計算コードJAGURSの開発南海トラフ地震の津波ハザード情報を用いた確率論的浸水リスク評価とその利活用A Seafloor Pressure Sensor Effectiveness Evaluation in a Tsunami Height Estimation Model Using Gaussian Process Regression with Automatic Relevance DeterminationProbabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessment Considering the Sequence of the First and Second Earthquakes Along the Nankai Trough
- References
- Connecting slow earthquakes to large earthquakesSensitivity of tsunami wave profiles and inundation simulations to earthquake slip and fault geometry for the 2011 Tohoku earthquakeParallel Implementation of Dispersive Tsunami Wave Modeling with a Nesting Algorithm for the 2011 Tohoku TsunamiTime‐Dependent Probabilistic Tsunami Inundation Assessment Using Mode Decomposition to Assess Uncertainty for an Earthquake ScenarioProbabilistic Tsunami Hazard and Risk Analysis: A Review of Research GapsNonvolcanic Deep Tremor Associated with Subduction in Southwest JapanEffects of earthquake spatial slip correlation on variability of tsunami potential energy and intensitiesEffects of rupture complexity on local tsunami inundation: Implications for probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment by exampleMechanism of tsunami earthquakesSurface deformation due to shear and tensile faults in a half-spaceAccurate numerical simulation of the far-field tsunami caused by the 2011 Tohoku earthquake, including the effects of Boussinesq dispersion, seawater density stratification, elastic loading, and gravitational potential changeEpisodic slow slip events accompanied by non‐volcanic tremors in southwest Japan subduction zoneGeneric Mapping Tools: Improved Version ReleasedTsunami inundation from heterogeneous earthquake slip distributions: Evaluation of synthetic source modelsTsunami hazard assessments with consideration of uncertain earthquake slip distribution and locationLogic-tree Approach for Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Analysis and its Applications to the Japanese CoastsTime and Space Distribution of Coseismic Slip of the 2011 Tohoku Earthquake as Inferred from Tsunami Waveform DataProbabilistic tsunami hazard assessment with simulation-based response surfacesTsunami hazard and exposure on the global scaleProbabilistic hazard for seismically induced tsunamis: accuracy and feasibility of inundation mapsA revised tsunami source model for the 1707 Hoei earthquake and simulation of tsunami inundation of Ryujin Lake, Kyushu, JapanKinematic rupture scenarios and synthetic displacement data: An example application to the Cascadia subduction zoneStochastic analysis and uncertainty assessment of tsunami wave height using a random source parameter model that targets a Tohoku-type earthquake faultSeismicity of the EarthProbabilistic Analysis of Tsunami Hazards*Tsunami generation by horizontal displacement of ocean bottomFrom regional to local SPTHA: efficient computation of probabilistic tsunami inundation maps addressing near-field sourcesProbabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis without the Ergodic AssumptionA New Approximate Method for Quantifying Tsunami Maximum Inundation Height ProbabilityModel of Strong Ground Motions from Earthquakes in Central and Eastern North America: Best Estimates and UncertaintiesStatus of historical seismology in JapanEngineering seismic risk analysisComplex earthquake rupture and local tsunamis瀬戸内海・豊後水道沿岸における宝永 (1707)・安政 (1854)・昭和 (1946) 南海道津波の挙動Reliability of tsunami source model derived from fault parameters南海トラフの巨大地震による津波痕跡を再現する特性化波源断層モデルTime-Dependent Probabilistic Tsunami Inundation Assessment Using Mode Decomposition to Assess Uncertainty for an Earthquake ScenarioRegional probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment associated with active faults along the eastern margin of the Sea of Japan
- References (URI)
- Data Provider (Database)
- 国立情報学研究所 : CiNii Research
- Original Data Provider (Database)
- 学術機関リポジトリデータベース雑誌記事索引データベースCrossref科学研究費助成事業データベースCrossrefCrossrefCrossrefCrossref
- Bibliographic ID (NDL)
- 12685443